Aug 10
23
US Markets Continue To See Red
Will the US markets continue to see red? Corporate activity looks to pick up the slack in growth.
US Markets
Let’s see how the US markets react to continued uncertainty and last week’s bearish sentiment. U.S. stocks declined Friday on light summer trading volumes, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its second consecutive week of losses as concerns about economic growth weighed on investor sentiment. Offsetting concerns about the sagging recovery in the job market is a resurgence in M&A activity – as corporations in a stronger position to make strategic acquisitions are starting to move again.
Major economic reports to keep an eye on include Tuesday’s Canada core retail sales report (m/m), Wednesday’s Germany Ifo Business Climate and US new home sales, Thursday’s UK Nationwide Building Society’s home sale prices and US unemployment claims, toppping off with Friday’s UK revised GDP and comments by US Fed Reserve Ben Bernanke.
Lets look at how this will affect the majors:
US Markets
Stocks:
Leading the Dow’s decline Friday, Hewlett-Packard Co. dropped 2.2%. The technology giant’s profit climbed 6.1% on higher world-wide sales in its fiscal third-quarter, its final quarter with Mark Hurd at its helm. But investors have been nervous about H-P since Hurd left the company two weeks ago. Looks like things might be brighter on the other side of the pond — European stocks were trading up in early action on Monday, led by the financial and mining sectors, with SABMiller and HSBC Holdings in focus following deal talk. Keep an eye on European heavyweights with exposure to Asian markets. Overnight, Asian shares traded mostly higher while Australian stocks were steady.
US Markets
Currencies:
The Australian dollar gained back most of its losses against its U.S. counterpart Monday, after falling in the wake of Saturday’s indecisive weekend election. The Aussie was buying 89.10 U.S cents, down 0.2%, after Saturday’s general election led to what will likely be the first hung parliament there in 70 years.
The Euro has dropped about 40 pips lower following weaker than expected German advanced Manufacturing PMI figures breaking through Asian sessions trading range floor, at 1.2680, to reach a fresh session low at 1.2680.
Commodities:
Despite opening the week under $74.00 a barrel, the front-month crude contract has recovered slightly over Asia on a weakening US dollar. So far the contract for October delivery trades at $74.19, yet remains fragile near 6-week lows due to last week’s disappointing US Markets data releases.
The biggest factor weighing heavily on crude oil as of recent has been the sluggish economic recovery in key economies with typically high energy demand. In the US markets, the world’s leading energy consumer, job growth is much slower than analysts’ were predicting with initial jobless claims jumping to a 9-month high in 500,000 this past Thursday. Larger than expected crude inventories is also a contributing factor as stockpiles unexpectedly rose last week.
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